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Andreessen Horowitz - Guide to Navigating Market Cycles

Andreessen Horowitz's field guide for the downturn. The memo advises founders to reset their 'Burn Multiples' immediately. It argues that in a bull market, investors pay for growth; in a bear market, they pay for efficiency. The text details how to perform 'Scenario Planning' (Base, Bear, Survival) and urges founders to raise debt or extension rounds *before* they are desperate. It emphasizes that 'Flat is the new Up' and that avoiding a down round is worth sacrificing some dilution.

Why is relevant?

Don't catch a falling knife. This archive gives founders the permission to slow down growth to save the company. It aligns your strategy with the 'Risk-Off' mentality of Tier-1 investors. It serves as a board-level script for justifying layoffs or pivot strategies to ensure survival through the winter.
Andreessen Horowitz - Guide to Navigating Market Cycles, investment firm website screenshot
Author
Justin Kahl and David George
Publication date
May 13th, 2022
Difficulty
Beginner
Keywords
  • a16z memo
  • market downturn strategy
  • burn multiple
  • capital efficiency
  • scenario planning
  • fundraising in recession
  • startup survival
  • venture capital cycles
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