Andreessen Horowitz - Guide to Navigating Market Cycles
Andreessen Horowitz's field guide for the downturn. The memo advises founders to reset their 'Burn Multiples' immediately. It argues that in a bull market, investors pay for growth; in a bear market, they pay for efficiency. The text details how to perform 'Scenario Planning' (Base, Bear, Survival) and urges founders to raise debt or extension rounds *before* they are desperate. It emphasizes that 'Flat is the new Up' and that avoiding a down round is worth sacrificing some dilution.
Why is relevant?
Don't catch a falling knife. This archive gives founders the permission to slow down growth to save the company. It aligns your strategy with the 'Risk-Off' mentality of Tier-1 investors. It serves as a board-level script for justifying layoffs or pivot strategies to ensure survival through the winter.

Author
Justin Kahl and David George
Publication date
May 13th, 2022
Difficulty
Beginner
Keywords
- a16z memo
- market downturn strategy
- burn multiple
- capital efficiency
- scenario planning
- fundraising in recession
- startup survival
- venture capital cycles
Last update