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Trends in Venture Capital Investment

Bazaz, Ji, Socal, and Kang analyze 28,269 VC deals in biopharmaceutical companies from 2010 to 2024 using PitchBook data, finding just 5.93% of deals, 1,679 total, involved companies disclosing AI as a business focus, with drug discovery the most common AI business area at 38.06% of AI deals, followed by biotechnology and pharmaceutical at 37.22%, discovery tools at 23.88%, and drug delivery at under 1%. AI-related companies were substantially overrepresented in discovery tools relative to non-AI companies, 23.88% versus 3.31% of deals, and underrepresented in drug delivery, and both AI and non-AI VC activity skewed increasingly toward early-stage deals by 2024, 77.42% and 68.21% respectively, though total capital invested grew more evenly across deal stages. AI discovery tool companies saw the fastest growth of any category, with median deal size rising from $0.19 million to $7.50 million between 2010 and 2024 and their share of AI capital jumping from 0.25% to 21.85%, while geographic concentration remained stark: nearly 60% of 2024 US-based AI deals landed in California and Massachusetts alone, versus non-AI deals spread across 42 states.

Why is relevant?

Founders building AI-driven drug discovery tools get a precise, quantified benchmark for the category's explosive growth, a nearly 36-fold increase in funding share from 2010 to 2024, along with a concrete median deal size trajectory to compare their own fundraise against rather than relying on anecdotal impressions of a hot sector. State policymakers and economic development officials get a specific, evidence-based signal that California and Massachusetts have captured a disproportionate share of AI biopharma investment, nearly 60% of 2024 deals, which the authors explicitly frame as a call for other states to consider emulating those states' research incentives and regulatory pathways to compete for this capital. The paper's methodological caution around AI-washing, companies using the AI label as marketing rather than a genuine core focus, is also a useful reminder for anyone reading VC funding statistics generally, since it flags a real measurement challenge that likely affects many other reported AI investment figures beyond just biopharma.
Trends in Venture Capital Investment, investment firm website screenshot
Author
Abhishek Bazaz, Yunan Ji, Mariana P. Socal, So-Yeon Kang
Publication date
January 1st, 2026
Difficulty
Advanced
Keywords
  • AI biopharmaceutical VC
  • drug discovery investment
  • discovery tools
  • PitchBook data
  • geographic concentration
  • early-stage deals
  • AI-washing
  • California Massachusetts VC
  • compound annual growth rate
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